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Don't Seek Revenge
Jim has lost
a bundle in the last six weeks. He was riding high at
the end of 2004, but when the New Year started, he
couldn't get his act together. He hasn't been trading
very long, but he has seen some success. The past two
weeks, though, have been particularly devastating to his
account balance and to his ego. It all seemed so simple
a couple months ago. But recently, he has made a series
of trades that have wiped out six months worth of
profits. For the past week, he has been determined to
get his revenge. Although seeking revenge is a natural
response to losses, it rarely fixes things. As tempting
as it is to work with an "I'll show them" attitude, it
doesn't work well for trading the markets. It just puts
you on edge, and there are not any real enemies to fight
against when plotting revenge. Ultimately, the only
enemy is you. A vengeful spirit usually makes matters
worse. It's better to trade calmly and logically, rather
than in spite and on impulse. It's easier to lose money
than it is to make it back. It's just a matter of the
mathematics of trading. Lost money is difficult to make
back because of margin requirements and risk management.
Recovery will require skill, time, and effort. Seeking
your revenge isn't going to help you accomplish the
daunting task of recouping your losses.
We seek out
revenge when we feel that we have been unnecessarily
wronged. A need for revenge reflects a sense of
overconfidence. Some overconfident traders are novices
who made a bunch of wins, and then mistakenly believe
that just because of a run of good luck, they now know
how to trade like a seasoned pro. Because they believe
they are now skilled traders, they expect to always make
big wins. But they aren't skilled traders. And when
market conditions change, and they always do, they lose,
and lose big. From their point of view, they are angry.
The markets should have provided rewards, yet they are
now beset with doubt and losses.
It's easy to
understand why novice traders working under the
assumption that they "should" have made wins are angry
upon realizing a loss. When we feel that something is
owed to us, we become angry when we don't get it. We
feel we were entitled to win, and when we didn't, we see
it as an affront. It would be nice if we could win
across a variety of market conditions, but not every
trader has such fortune or skill. Losses are inevitable,
and when you're a novice trader, you should expect to go
in losing until you develop enough skills to trade more
profitably. Although it's understandable, seeking
revenge isn't going to help. When we seek revenge, we
are agitated. All our energy is focused on fighting. It
works for a wild animal ready to bring down an opponent,
but trading is largely an intellectual endeavor. You
need your wits. You need to be calm, focused, and
objective.
Rather than
seeking revenge, it's more useful to think in terms of
making a strong commitment to success upon encountering
a setback. Don't think in terms of "beating an
opponent." Think in terms of building up your trading
skills. Tell yourself that you are committed to
mastering the markets, and that you will persist and
overcome any obstacle. In the markets, it isn't useful
to think of obstacles as other people. You can't
dominate the market. Unless you are a billionaire who
can actually manipulate the price action, you have to
settle for going where the market takes you. You can't
impose your will onto the market, and that's what you
are trying to do when you try to seek out revenge.
Sometimes market conditions are not conducive to your
trading style and there is nothing you can do about it.
When the right market conditions aren't there, you have
to stand aside and wait. If you go in there fighting,
you'll probably just make more bad trades and lose even
more. It's better to stand aside and use that pent up
negative energy to study the markets or to learn new
trading strategies, but whatever you do, calm down. If
you can stay calm, even during a major setback, you can
think creatively and figure out a way to trade
profitably until you make back your losses. Plotting
revenge only makes matters worse.
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